SPY

Happy 8th Birthday Bull Market! Has the S&P 500 Become Dangerously Overvalued?

2017-03-10

Research Articles, Uncategorized

Introduction According to an article in Quartz today, March 9, 2017, marks the 8th birthday of the US bull market which started on March 9, 2009.  According to the article, this is the 2nd longest and 4th strongest bull market in history for the S&P 500.  However, before we celebrate too excessively, we should pause […]

The Shiller PE Continues to Mislead Investors, The S&P 500 Is Fairly Valued in Early 2013

2013-01-15

Research Articles

Allow me to start this article by emphatically stating that I have a real problem with forecasting stock markets in the general sense.  Instead, I prefer to forecast the intrinsic values of individual businesses based on their earnings justified fundamental values.  I hold this position because I believe that it is not only possible, but […]

Q1 2011: The S&P Is Fairly Valued

2011-04-07

Research Articles

As investors, we do not believe in forecasting stock markets or stock prices on individual stocks. Instead, we approach investing as the process of calculating intrinsic value based on fundamentals. To us, the most important fundamental to be considered when evaluating the True Worth™ of a market or a common stock is earnings. Therefore, it’s […]

S&P 500: Modestly Overvalued

2010-01-06

Research Articles

After a strong price recovery in 2009, the question on every investor’s mind is what about 2010? To us, it’s always a function of valuation based on earnings. In fact, the correlation between earnings and price explains a lot about past, present and ultimately future performance. This is true for individual companies, but applies to […]

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