S&P 500

Value Investing Is A Long-Term Strategy and Should Be Judged Accordingly


Research Articles

Introduction Almost by definition, value investing rarely performs well in the short run.  This is especially true when you are in a strong bull market like we’ve been in since March 2009.  Most companies as represented by the S&P 500 are currently trading at fundamental multiples that are significantly above historical norms.  Below is a […]

This is How You Can Beat the Market Without Fail


Research Articles

Introduction With this article I am going to present several ways that investors, especially retired investors, can beat the market without fail.  However, what I will be presenting may not be what you are expecting, particularly if you have a narrow notion of what beating the market means.  In other words, one of my primary […]

How Overvalued Is The S&P 500? Watch This Video To See For Yourself!


Research Articles, Videos

3 Consecutive Double-Digit Years for the S&P 500?


Research Articles

The question posed by the title of this article is whether or not 2011 will be the third year in a row of double-digit returns for the S&P 500. In calendar year 2009 the S&P 500 returned 26.4% and followed this up in 2010 by earning 15.06%. As we look forward to 2011 we see […]

The S&P 500 2010 Target of 1254 Reached


Research Articles

On September 5, 2010, we published an article on Seeking Alpha that suggested that the S&P 500 would reach 1245 by year end. Then on November 2, 2010 we republished our fair value S&P 500 calculation based on updated earnings forecasts by Standard & Poor’s Corp. The new forecast implied that the S&P 500 would […]

Six Cyclical Stocks: When to Hold ‘Em, When to Fold ‘Em


Research Articles

For any investor considering investing in cyclical stocks, the admonition from Kenny Rogers’ famous song “The Gambler” should be heeded: “You got to know when to hold ’em / Know when to fold ’em / Know when to walk away / And know when to run.“ As the recent great recession has so emphatically reminded […]

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