S&P 500

How Overvalued Is The S&P 500? Watch This Video To See For Yourself!

2018-09-28

Research Articles, Videos

3 Consecutive Double-Digit Years for the S&P 500?

2011-01-09

Research Articles

The question posed by the title of this article is whether or not 2011 will be the third year in a row of double-digit returns for the S&P 500. In calendar year 2009 the S&P 500 returned 26.4% and followed this up in 2010 by earning 15.06%. As we look forward to 2011 we see […]

The S&P 500 2010 Target of 1254 Reached

2010-12-23

Research Articles

On September 5, 2010, we published an article on Seeking Alpha that suggested that the S&P 500 would reach 1245 by year end. Then on November 2, 2010 we republished our fair value S&P 500 calculation based on updated earnings forecasts by Standard & Poor’s Corp. The new forecast implied that the S&P 500 would […]

Six Cyclical Stocks: When to Hold ‘Em, When to Fold ‘Em

2010-11-19

Research Articles

For any investor considering investing in cyclical stocks, the admonition from Kenny Rogers’ famous song “The Gambler” should be heeded: “You got to know when to hold ’em / Know when to fold ’em / Know when to walk away / And know when to run.“ As the recent great recession has so emphatically reminded […]

Why Our S&P 500-at-1254-Before-2011 Forecast Still Stands

2010-11-02

Research Articles

On September 5, 2010 we published an article on Seeking Alpha that suggested that the S&P 500 would reach 1245 by year end. This forecast was based on the S&P 500 trading at its 80 year historical normal PE ratio of 15 and a consensus earnings forecast for calendar year 2010 of $82.98. Below is […]

Why Buy and Hold Will Always Be a Sound Investing Strategy

2010-10-19

Research Articles

It seems like the debate regarding the merits of the “buy-and-hold” investing strategy is alive and well. We always find these discussions amusing, because we believe that it is such a pointless discussion. There is no general argument or case that can be made to support the buy-and-hold strategy or to negate it. The only […]

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