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Forecasting Calculators

The 5 Forecasting Calculators are found under the Forecasting tab. These are used to perform performance calculations using the estimates provided. Each Calculator has 11 different valuation lines with clickable points for each of the four quarters in the fiscal year.

The 5 Forecasting Calculators include:

 

Performance Calculations

If you click on any of the points, a pop-up will occur displaying the performance breakdown from the last closing day’s stock price to that future point.

 

FAST FACTS

The FAST FACTS on the Estimates Forecasting Calculator show all of the same information that the Historical Graph FAST FACTS show, except a snippet of the Analyst Scorecard is added at the bottom to help make informed decisions.

Click here to learn more about the Analyst Scorecard.

Click here to learn more about FAST FACTS.

Estimates Calculator

The Estimates Calculator is the default calculator when going to the Forecasting tab. This can show up to 3 years of estimates and are the same estimates found on the Historical Graph.

Click here to learn more about the Historical Graph.

The fair valuation line is drawn as the thick solid orange line, and its multiple depends on the estimated growth of the selected metric. The other calculation lines are drawn around it from the same estimates but with different multiples. These multiples can be seen on the right side of the graph.

Click here to learn more about the fair valuation multiple.

The numbers below the graph give more insight on the data. Here you will find:

  • The last actual number followed by the estimates for the selected metric
  • The percent change per year
  • The number of analysts making estimates for that specific year
    * This is extremely important to look at, because the more analysts there are for an estimate, the more reliable it can be*
  • The last actual dividend followed by the dividend estimates

Normal Multiple Calculator

The Normal Multiple is the second calculator found under the Forecasting tab. This can show up to 3 years of estimates and are the same estimates found on the Historical Graph.

The fair valuation line is drawn as the  Normal PE applied to the Historical Graph and is represented as the thick solid blue line. The Normal Multiple Calculator defaults using a 5-year historical Normal PE. This can be changed by using the drop-down below the graph.

The other calculation lines are drawn around it from the same estimates but with different multiples. These multiples can be seen on the right side of the graph.

 

The numbers below the graph give more insight on the data. Here you will find:

  • The last actual number followed by the estimates for the selected metric
  • The percent change per year
  • The number of analysts making estimates for that specific year
    * This is extremely important to look at, because the more analysts there are for an estimate, the more reliable it can be*
  • The last actual dividend followed by the dividend estimates

3-5Y TL Growth Calculator

The 3-5 Year Trendline Growth Calculator is the third forecasting calculator found under the Forecasting tab. This can show up to 5 years of trendline growth estimates from analysts.

The fair valuation line is drawn as the thick solid orange line, and its multiple depends on the estimated trendline growth of the selected metric. The other calculation lines are drawn around it from the same estimates but with different multiples. These multiples can be seen on the right side of the graph.

 

The numbers below the graph give more insight on the data. Here you will find:

  • The last actual number followed by the estimates for the selected metric
    • These per share estimate numbers are calculated based off of the estimated trendline growth rate
  • The percent change per year
    • This will show the same across the bottom because this graph shows a trendline growth estimate
  • The number of analysts making estimates for that specific year
    • This will always show N/A. The number of analysts are found in the FAST FACTS because this is a single trendline growth rate estimate instead of individual per share estimate
  • The last actual dividend followed by the dividend estimates

Historical CAGR Calculator

The Historical Compound Annual Growth Rate Calculator is the fourth forecasting calculator found under the Forecasting tab. This can show up to 5 years of estimates calculated by applying a Historical Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) from the company.

The fair valuation line is drawn as the thick solid orange line, and its multiple depends on the selected Historical CAGR. The Historical CAGR Calculator defaults using a 5-year Historical CAGR. This can be changed by using the drop-down below the graph.

 

The other calculation lines are drawn around it from the same estimates calculated from the selected Historical CAGR but with different multiples. These multiples can be seen on the right side of the graph.

 

The numbers below the graph give more insight on the data. Here you will find:

  • The last actual number followed by the estimates for the selected metric
    • These per share estimate numbers are calculated based off of the selected Historical CAGR
  • The percent change per year
    • This will show the same across the bottom because this graph applies the same Historical CAGR to each fiscal year estimate
  • The number of analysts making estimates for that specific year
    • This will always show N/A because there are no analysts estimating these estimates. These estimates are calculated using the selected Historical CAGR
  • The last actual dividend followed by the dividend estimates

Custom Calculator

The Custom Forecasting Calculator is the fifth and final calculator available on FAST Graphs. It gives you the ability to enter your own numbers to experiment with your own scenarios. Any boxes with gray numbers that you find around the calculator can be changed to whatever value you want.

This calculator extends out to 5 years and uses trendline estimates as its default. You can also blend the 3-5 Year Trendline estimates with the individual  Estimates giving you a different picture. The power of this is looking at individual estimates for up to 3 years, and then extending the estimates out to 5 years using the estimated trendline growth. This is done by using the select boxes underneath the graph.

 

A custom valuation multiple can also be added to the calculator. This can be changed in the box to the right of the graph, where all of the multiples are displayed.

Most of the numbers below the calculator can be changed too, giving you the ability to input your own custom estimates and dividend estimates to further customize your analysis.

The Custom Calculator also allows you to input your own custom growth rate so that you can experiment with different rates at which the selected metric may grow. This is found as an input box at the very bottom of the calculator.

 

To reset everything back to default, click the RESET ALL button.

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