Introduction In Part 1 of this series found here, we voiced the notion that there are two primary attributes, valuation and the rate of change of earnings growth, which prudent investors can use to forecast the potential future returns on their stocks. However, Part 1 was primarily focused on ascertaining the principles which laid the …
ORCL
A True Investor’s Most Important Performance Measurement
Although most people either fail to realize it, or simply refused to accept it, every stock portfolio has two separate and distinct performances. The first, and in my opinion, the least important, is stock price movement. If you buy a stock at $10 a share and it goes to $15 a share it’s a good …
Prof. Schiller and CAPE, Maybe Correct Generally, But Specifically Wrong: The Market is Currently Cheap
Introduction Many well-known stock market pundits to include the likes of Henry Blodgett point to Professor Robert Shiller’s cyclically adjusted PE ratio or CAPE to make a case that the stock market (S&P 500) is overvalued. According to Prof. Shiller, the long-term average PE ratio (CAPE adjusted) for the S&P 500 is approximately 16. And …