Introduction As a seasoned and grizzled veteran of the financial services industry for now going on 50 years, the most commonly asked questions I have received, and still do to this day, are: when to buy and when to sell a stock? Moreover, these very questions are the mother of how and why I have …
Carnevale
For Long-Term Investors Only: It’s A Market of Stocks!
Introduction Since the beginning of April 2009, the Standard & Poor’s 500 (the stock market) has enjoyed one of the longest bull markets on record. As a result, I am starting to hear from a lot of investors that they are becoming worried that this great bull market must soon come to an end. As …
CBS and Viacom Merger: High Risk Tempered by Extremely Low Valuation
Introduction 14 years ago the Redstone family spun out Viacom (VIA) from CBS Corp (CBS). However, the companies have decided to once again merge into what they hope will become a dominant entertainment company. Given that the entertainment market is extremely competitive and quite risky, future visibility is very muddy in my humble opinion. On …
Forecasting the Future: Part 2
Introduction In part 1 of this series on forecasting future results as the key to investing success, I suggested that reviewing consensus analyst estimates was a smart and prudent starting point. Furthermore, I attempted to illustrate that consensus estimates tend to be accurate enough to help you determine whether a deeper dive into the company …
Forecasting Future Business Results are The Key to Successful Stock Investing: Part 1
Introduction As investors, we can learn a great deal from the past about the businesses we are contemplating investing in. However, as investors, we must also recognize that we can only truly invest in the future. Consequently, although understanding a company’s history can help us better understand the business, our success is predicated on our …
AGNC Investment Corp.: Not Suitable for Retirement Accounts – Part 3
Introduction This is the third in a series of articles where I will be covering the historical performance and operating results of popular and highly recognized mREITs (mortgage REITs). In my first installment, I covered Annaly Capital Management (NLY) found here; in my second installment I covered Dynex Capital, Inc. (DX) found here; with this installment …
Dynex Capital Inc.: Still Not Suitable For Retirement Accounts Part 2
Introduction This is the second in a series of articles where I will be covering the historical performance and operating results of popular and highly recognized mREITs (mortgage REITs). In my first installment, I covered Annaly Capital Management (NLY) found here, with this installment I’m going to cover Dynex Capital Inc (DX). However, before I …
Annaly Capital Management Inc.: Not Suitable For Retirement Accounts
Introduction Although some might disagree, I believe that investors either in retirement, or close to becoming retired, should be a little more conservative with how their portfolios are positioned. This position is primarily predicated on the reality that investors in retirement do not have the luxury of the time often needed to recover from bad …
Time In The Market and Value Investing Is Not Market Timing
Introduction I am a value investor, and all my investments are made with a long-term objective in mind. Consequently, I am a believer that time in the market is often what matters most. However, I will qualify that remark by saying that you also make your money on the buy side. What this means to …
Valuation Is More Important Than Politics or Interest Rates: And Most Stocks Are Overvalued Today
Introduction My personal investing strategy is based on the simple logic and reality that great businesses are by definition, better than average. Therefore, to my way of thinking, it logically follows that the best investment returns would be achieved by investing in the best businesses that you could identify. Moreover, it is also important to …