FAST Graphs At-A-Glance

Articles which show the principles for reading and analyzing FAST Graphs At-A-Glance.

Five Tech Stocks with the Added Benefit of Dividends

FAST Graphs - Friday, June 08, 2012

 

Here are five technology-oriented companies that are currently trading at a price earnings ratio that implies that the stocks are attractively valued.  Each of these five companies currently offers a dividend yield that is above-average as represented by the S&P 500.

The following table summarizes five technology-oriented companies that appear to be attractively valued, and lists them in order of dividend yield highest to lowest. From left to right, the table shows the company's stock symbol and name. Next the company's historical EPS growth followed by the estimated EPS growth. Next you will find the current PE ratio followed by the historical normal PE ratio for perspective. Then the 5-year estimated annual total return, followed by dividend yield for each company. The final three columns show the company sector, debt, and its market cap.

 

A Closer Look at the Past and the Future Potential

Since a picture is worth 1,000 words, we’ll take a closer look at the past performance and future potential of each of our five candidates through the lens of F.A.S.T. Graphs™.

Earnings Determine Market Price: The following earnings and price correlated historical graphs clearly illustrates the importance of earnings. The Earnings Growth Rate Line or True Worth™ Line (orange line with white triangles) is correlated with the historical stock price line. On graph after graph the lines will move in tandem. If the stock price strays away from the earnings line (over or under), inevitably it will come back to earnings. The historical normal PE ratio line (dark blue line with*) depicts a PE ratio that the market has historically applied.

The orange True Worth™ line and the blue normal PE ratio line provide perspectives on valuation.  The orange line reflects the fair value of each company’s earnings relative to its growth rate achievement, and the blue line reflects how the market has traditionally valued the company’s stock relative to its fair value. The blue line represents a trimmed historical normal PE ratio (the highest and lowest PEs are trimmed).  These lines should be viewed as barometers or aids for ascertaining sound buy, sell or hold decisions. Rather than seen as absolutes, they should be seen as guides to better thinking.

About Anixter Intl Inc (AXE):  Directly from their website

“Anixter International is a leading global distributor of communication and security products, electrical and electronic wire & cable, fasteners and other small parts. The company adds value to the distribution process by providing its customers access to 1) innovative inventory management programs, 2) more than 450,000 products and over $1 billion in inventory, 3) approximately 225 warehouses with 7 million square feet of space, and 4) locations in over 260 cities in more than 50 countries. Founded in 1957 and headquartered near Chicago, Anixter trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol AXE.”

 

The consensus of 11 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Anixter Intl Inc’s long-term earnings growth at 15%.  Anixter Intl Inc has medium long-term debt at 45% of capital. Anixter Intl Inc is currently trading at a P/E of 9.8, which is below the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Anixter Intl Inc’s True Worth™ valuation would be $184.43 at the end of 2017, which would be a 27.7% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

About Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP):  Directly from their website

“Microchip Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MCHP) is a leading provider of microcontroller, analog and Flash-IP solutions, providing low-risk product development, lower total system cost and faster time to market for thousands of diverse customer applications worldwide. Headquartered in Chandler, Arizona, Microchip offers outstanding technical support along with dependable delivery and quality.”

 

 

The consensus of 12 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Microchip Technology Inc’s long-term earnings growth at 10%.  Microchip Technology Inc has low long-term debt at 15% of capital. Microchip Technology Inc is currently trading at a P/E of 17.5, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Microchip Technology Inc’s True Worth™ valuation would be $49.96 at the end of 2017, which would be a 11.8% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

About Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM):  Directly from their website

“Maxim makes highly integrated analog and mixed-signal semiconductors. Maxim reported revenue of approximately $2.5 billion for fiscal 2011.”

 

 

The consensus of 28 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Maxim Integrated Products’ long-term earnings growth at 11%.  Maxim Integrated Products has low long-term debt at 11% of capital. Maxim Integrated Products is currently trading at a P/E of 16.9, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Maxim Integrated Products’ True Worth™ valuation would be $41.33 at the end of 2017, which would be a 13.1% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

About Linear Technology Corp (LLTC):  Directly from their website

“Linear Technology Corporation, a member of the S&P 500, has been designing, manufacturing and marketing a broad line of high performance analog integrated circuits for major companies worldwide for three decades. The Company’s products provide an essential bridge between our analog world and the digital electronics in communications, networking, industrial, automotive, computer, medical, instrumentation, consumer, and military and aerospace systems. Linear Technology produces power management, data conversion, signal conditioning, RF and interface ICs, μModule®subsystems, and wireless sensor network products.”

 

 

The consensus of 20 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Linear Technology Corp’s long-term earnings growth at 10.5%.  Linear Technology Corp has high long-term debt at 61% of capital. Linear Technology Corp is currently trading at a P/E of 16.5, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Linear Technology Corp’s True Worth™ valuation would be $47.86 at the end of 2017, which would be a 12.9% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

About Accenture (ACN):  Directly from their website

“Accenture is a global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company, with more than 246,000 people serving clients in more than 120 countries. Combining unparalleled experience, comprehensive capabilities across all industries and business functions, and extensive research on the world’s most successful companies, Accenture collaborates with clients to help them become high-performance businesses and governments. The company generated net revenues of US$25.5 billion for the fiscal year ended Aug. 31, 2011.”

 

 

The consensus of 24 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Accenture’s long-term earnings growth at 11.8%.  Accenture has no debt. Accenture is currently trading at a P/E of 15.4, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Accenture’s True Worth™ valuation would be $100.30 at the end of 2017, which would be a 13.1% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

Summary and Conclusions

We believe these tech stocks appear to look like they are at a valuation which warrants further research.  By quickly reviewing these companies through the lens of the FAST Graphs tool, the investor interested in dividend growth might want to consider adding an investment in the technology sector for an added benefit of growth.

Three out of five of these stocks have been overvalued and are moving into the range of valuation. Two of the stocks have been good investments and look to be slightly undervalued today.  As always, we recommend you conduct your own thorough due diligence.

Disclosure:  Long MCHP and ACN at the time of writing.

Disclaimer: The opinions in this document are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the stocks mentioned or to solicit transactions or clients. Past performance of the companies discussed may not continue and the companies may not achieve the earnings growth as predicted. The information in this document is believed to be accurate, but under no circumstances should a person act upon the information contained within. We do not recommend that anyone act upon any investment information without first consulting an investment advisor as to the suitability of such investments for his specific situation. A comprehensive due diligence effort is recommended.

 

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Provincial Party School newspaper recently joint the status of province for the first time officials read survey for school training, 6 main trips, more than 200 Hall, at the section level cadres. The survey presents a more realistic officials read ecological. The reading is easy reading is precious Surveyed across the province and government cadres at all levels, the participants of the six main shift of the Provincial Party School. Departmental level management of the provincial cadres a class of 39 people 4 class county level cadres from the provincial authorities and municipalities, counties cities, districts, a total of 179 people the 40 otherwise township party secretary refresher course section level township cadres. Survey a total of 258 questionnaires were distributed, 201 valid questionnaires were. The survey shows that nearly 60 of people daily only 1-2 hours of reading time. This valuable reading time mainly to electronic reading the paper read supplemented by accounting for the majority of the first Information-based reading supplemented by 60 percent. The Wujiang District Standing Committee, Publicity Minister INVESTIGATION confess to love reading, but daily reading time is limited, are fragments of information reading, often just reading for half an hour, the heart is not static, immediately think of . Provincial Party School Librarian Chen Xiaoli years read the changes in the media is to adapt the busy modern Therefore, the of many cadres paper read too little, choose a new reading medium. 40-60 year-old male is the main body of this survey, and work with the social group a peak salt of the earth's major. Valuable reading time, 72 of the people still retain the habit of reading, as long as the time will read, 22 of the original study habits, not now, and 6 of people say that they do not have the study habits, while 94 of people firmly believe that reading is still important. Sang said [url=http://lvoutlet.factorys8.com]louis vuitton outlet[/url], This shows that our cadres generally choose to learn to choose progress, this is a motivated group. Half of the hall, level cadres, read 5-10 books a year, with six of China's annual per capita amount of reading the overall situation fairly. Township cadres six adult reading is less than five year. Secretary of testimonials, retaining its position as the top three reading rate The survey set up 3 fill in the blank 3 books influenced you, you are reading the book you want to recommend to others book. In accordance with the sort was recommended number of times, the top 10 are entrepreneurial country, China Shakes the power of the spirit, currency war, A Dream of Red Mansions, How to Make Steel Works of Deng Xiaoping, the third industrial revolution, the rise of great powers, the details determine success or failure. Mulberry studies specifically understand the recommended bibliography of over 500 cadres, can be summed up as a popular bestseller, theoretical writings related to the work of business management class, celebrity biographies, literary classics This shows that the cadres and pay attention not only to enhance their work ability to focus on improving the personal qualities and character cultivation. In his view, the widespread practice of leading cadres at all levels experienced more open perspective, there are two problems in the knowledge structure First, the theoretical grasp the system enough, the theoretical level of need improve Second, the face of the new situation and new tasks, knowledge needs to be updated [url=http://lvoutlet.factorys8.com]louis vuitton bags[/url], to improve the structure. Placed in the broader context of view, the ruling party is facing the governing test, the lack of dangerous through itself updated with efforts to adapt to the requirements of governance. Said Sang Xuecheng It is for this purpose, from central to local levels attach great importance to the study and training of cadres for many single the cadre group recommended book. 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Provincial Party Committee Propaganda Department of Theoretical Director Jiang Hongbin said, the Central Organization Department, the Central Propaganda Department recommended books facing the whole party, a more macroscopic emphasis on theory, history, and the current major decisions recommended local officials, will be closely linked to the local development of the actual . Provincial Party School brings together a total of nine leaders recommended bibliography, from Premier Wen Jiabao, the Guangdong Provincial Party Secretary Wang Yang, Jiangsu Provincial Party Secretary Luo Zhijun, to the Nanjing Municipal Party Committee Secretary Yang, Suzhou Party Secretary Jiang Hongkun. The survey shows that the leadership testimonials reading rate is very high, Luo Zhijun, secretary recommended last year, business kingdom, shock, spiritual power among the top three. Entrepreneurial kingdom of Saul Singh, the reason for this book to be welcomed, Jiangsu's economic development mode transformation need more experience of scientific and technological innovation, and Israel to provide these. China shock Zhang Wei as author told the reporter, the book has sold 700,000 [url=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louis_Vuitton]louis vuitton[/url], Why is it so hot? experience after 30 years of reform and opening up, China has made great achievements, there are a lot of problems, people look forward to the panoramic interpretation. Jiang Hongbin believes that leadership testimonials hot read, a common understanding of policy makers and subordinates, to share a major turning point, theoretical support behind major decisions favor the up and down to form a consensus to push forward the work. The love of reading, read good books, good reading. March 5 to 6 days. Reading The Communist Manifesto understanding .... Universal Declaration of Practice has proved that in 160 years, Marxism is the development of an open, Marxism is only combined with its national conditions, with the progress and the development of the times , with the fate of the masses of the people, to shine with a strong vitality, creativity and appeal ... Jiangsu Province Science and Technology Information Research Institute Xia Taishou study notes. In June of this year, Xia Taishou Diary build his Party School three months publication, named looking at the stars. 90 days, Xia Taishou wrote more than 70 journal articles. The The the teacher Wang Jian evaluation text speculative really quiet heavy, exudes thinking and perception, sense of mission and responsibility of a specific Communists. Survey you choose books moving title, ranking the first two motives practical guidance, Deep Thoughts of life and the world of work. This reflects the cadres upward, charity and gratifying, Sang said, Xi Jinping [url=http://lvoutlet.factorys8.com]louis vuitton[/url], has asked the cadres at all levels to love of reading, read good books, good reading, so a lot of people's cadres. ZHU Hai-shan, Changzhou Sports Bureau, no other hobbies, do not sing dance do not take a bath do not play cards, love to read and write, has accumulated more than 100 articles Reading Notes on the blog. The Party School the recommended bibliography Economics original, almost all to read. Hoi Shan recently reread The Communist Manifesto and revisit the deafening sound of 160 years ago, the Communists need to think what we forget reading any new struggle with thinking, China in decades of political and economic development sort out reading Mao Zedong products Classics , Mao's distinctive point of view, very enlightening reading Chiang Kai-shek Biography and understanding the past, thinking of the moment He also read the novel, are Xinhua Digest Recommended the high grade. The survey shows that the township party secretary favorite read History and History classes biographies. Huai'an Economic Development Zone bowl pool township party secretary Ai-Dong Wang loved reading Ming those thing, This book I've read a second time. Said truths, many things can now use all day and people because we deal to say vernacular. Huaian cadres to study mandatory credit assessment, Ai-Dong Wang at night completed. 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    "Great article, as always! I always look forward to your articles, and am especially eagerly awaiting your next in this series. I find the F.A.S.T. Graphs™ extremely helpful."


    “Your F.A.S.T. Graphs™ put all of this in a single artful picture and the accompanying spreadsheets hammer home the point.”


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    “Thanks, Chuck, for your F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Each of these graphs is worth 1,000 words in describing a company's growth, consistency and valuation. Thanks for sharing your graphs.”


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