FAST Graphs At-A-Glance

Articles which show the principles for reading and analyzing FAST Graphs At-A-Glance.

Five Tech Stocks with the Added Benefit of Dividends

FAST Graphs - Friday, June 08, 2012

 

Here are five technology-oriented companies that are currently trading at a price earnings ratio that implies that the stocks are attractively valued.  Each of these five companies currently offers a dividend yield that is above-average as represented by the S&P 500.

The following table summarizes five technology-oriented companies that appear to be attractively valued, and lists them in order of dividend yield highest to lowest. From left to right, the table shows the company's stock symbol and name. Next the company's historical EPS growth followed by the estimated EPS growth. Next you will find the current PE ratio followed by the historical normal PE ratio for perspective. Then the 5-year estimated annual total return, followed by dividend yield for each company. The final three columns show the company sector, debt, and its market cap.

 

A Closer Look at the Past and the Future Potential

Since a picture is worth 1,000 words, we’ll take a closer look at the past performance and future potential of each of our five candidates through the lens of F.A.S.T. Graphs™.

Earnings Determine Market Price: The following earnings and price correlated historical graphs clearly illustrates the importance of earnings. The Earnings Growth Rate Line or True Worth™ Line (orange line with white triangles) is correlated with the historical stock price line. On graph after graph the lines will move in tandem. If the stock price strays away from the earnings line (over or under), inevitably it will come back to earnings. The historical normal PE ratio line (dark blue line with*) depicts a PE ratio that the market has historically applied.

The orange True Worth™ line and the blue normal PE ratio line provide perspectives on valuation.  The orange line reflects the fair value of each company’s earnings relative to its growth rate achievement, and the blue line reflects how the market has traditionally valued the company’s stock relative to its fair value. The blue line represents a trimmed historical normal PE ratio (the highest and lowest PEs are trimmed).  These lines should be viewed as barometers or aids for ascertaining sound buy, sell or hold decisions. Rather than seen as absolutes, they should be seen as guides to better thinking.

About Anixter Intl Inc (AXE):  Directly from their website

“Anixter International is a leading global distributor of communication and security products, electrical and electronic wire & cable, fasteners and other small parts. The company adds value to the distribution process by providing its customers access to 1) innovative inventory management programs, 2) more than 450,000 products and over $1 billion in inventory, 3) approximately 225 warehouses with 7 million square feet of space, and 4) locations in over 260 cities in more than 50 countries. Founded in 1957 and headquartered near Chicago, Anixter trades on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol AXE.”

 

The consensus of 11 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Anixter Intl Inc’s long-term earnings growth at 15%.  Anixter Intl Inc has medium long-term debt at 45% of capital. Anixter Intl Inc is currently trading at a P/E of 9.8, which is below the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Anixter Intl Inc’s True Worth™ valuation would be $184.43 at the end of 2017, which would be a 27.7% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

About Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP):  Directly from their website

“Microchip Technology Inc. (NASDAQ: MCHP) is a leading provider of microcontroller, analog and Flash-IP solutions, providing low-risk product development, lower total system cost and faster time to market for thousands of diverse customer applications worldwide. Headquartered in Chandler, Arizona, Microchip offers outstanding technical support along with dependable delivery and quality.”

 

 

The consensus of 12 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Microchip Technology Inc’s long-term earnings growth at 10%.  Microchip Technology Inc has low long-term debt at 15% of capital. Microchip Technology Inc is currently trading at a P/E of 17.5, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Microchip Technology Inc’s True Worth™ valuation would be $49.96 at the end of 2017, which would be a 11.8% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

About Maxim Integrated Products (MXIM):  Directly from their website

“Maxim makes highly integrated analog and mixed-signal semiconductors. Maxim reported revenue of approximately $2.5 billion for fiscal 2011.”

 

 

The consensus of 28 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Maxim Integrated Products’ long-term earnings growth at 11%.  Maxim Integrated Products has low long-term debt at 11% of capital. Maxim Integrated Products is currently trading at a P/E of 16.9, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Maxim Integrated Products’ True Worth™ valuation would be $41.33 at the end of 2017, which would be a 13.1% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

About Linear Technology Corp (LLTC):  Directly from their website

“Linear Technology Corporation, a member of the S&P 500, has been designing, manufacturing and marketing a broad line of high performance analog integrated circuits for major companies worldwide for three decades. The Company’s products provide an essential bridge between our analog world and the digital electronics in communications, networking, industrial, automotive, computer, medical, instrumentation, consumer, and military and aerospace systems. Linear Technology produces power management, data conversion, signal conditioning, RF and interface ICs, μModule®subsystems, and wireless sensor network products.”

 

 

The consensus of 20 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Linear Technology Corp’s long-term earnings growth at 10.5%.  Linear Technology Corp has high long-term debt at 61% of capital. Linear Technology Corp is currently trading at a P/E of 16.5, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Linear Technology Corp’s True Worth™ valuation would be $47.86 at the end of 2017, which would be a 12.9% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

About Accenture (ACN):  Directly from their website

“Accenture is a global management consulting, technology services and outsourcing company, with more than 246,000 people serving clients in more than 120 countries. Combining unparalleled experience, comprehensive capabilities across all industries and business functions, and extensive research on the world’s most successful companies, Accenture collaborates with clients to help them become high-performance businesses and governments. The company generated net revenues of US$25.5 billion for the fiscal year ended Aug. 31, 2011.”

 

 

The consensus of 24 leading analysts reporting to Capital IQ forecast Accenture’s long-term earnings growth at 11.8%.  Accenture has no debt. Accenture is currently trading at a P/E of 15.4, which is inside the value corridor (defined by the five orange lines) of a maximum P/E of 18. If the earnings materialize as forecast, Accenture’s True Worth™ valuation would be $100.30 at the end of 2017, which would be a 13.1% annual rate of return from the current price.

 

Summary and Conclusions

We believe these tech stocks appear to look like they are at a valuation which warrants further research.  By quickly reviewing these companies through the lens of the FAST Graphs tool, the investor interested in dividend growth might want to consider adding an investment in the technology sector for an added benefit of growth.

Three out of five of these stocks have been overvalued and are moving into the range of valuation. Two of the stocks have been good investments and look to be slightly undervalued today.  As always, we recommend you conduct your own thorough due diligence.

Disclosure:  Long MCHP and ACN at the time of writing.

Disclaimer: The opinions in this document are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the stocks mentioned or to solicit transactions or clients. Past performance of the companies discussed may not continue and the companies may not achieve the earnings growth as predicted. The information in this document is believed to be accurate, but under no circumstances should a person act upon the information contained within. We do not recommend that anyone act upon any investment information without first consulting an investment advisor as to the suitability of such investments for his specific situation. A comprehensive due diligence effort is recommended.

 

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Currently, Medicare payment, generally divided into the prepaid system and after the pay-as-two, the former is paid by the project, to see how much sick pay how much, the majority of the localities have adopted this model, the latter including single disease payment fees, DRG, total prepaid, and so on, which control charges the most significant effect, hospital risk-sharing is the total prepaid system. Human and Social Security Bureau deputy inspector Jiang Ji-yuan, Beijing, revealed that Beijing's policy shift in September this year, the first held in the People's University of China, Beijing Public hospital reform practice peak seminar total prepaid system will be in the 2010 4 The top three hospitals on a pilot basis in 2012, expanded to 33, including municipal, troops, as well as the county's two hospitals. Informed sources revealed that Beijing may be in the 2013 pilot expanded to all secondary and tertiary hospitals. Health insurance fund to pay forced by increasing pressure on domestic cities of Shanghai, Beijing and other medical institutions to expand the pilot to pilot budget payment system. However, in order to avoid the total prepaid hospital prevarication adverse consequences of critically ill patients, the decline in the quality of medical services, and also reduce resistance to change in order to alleviate the concerns of the medical institutions for reform, both Beijing and Shanghai, are its necessary improvements. In the beginning of the 2012 National Health Conference, Health Minister Chen Zhu said, we should vigorously promote the reform of the payment system, and determined to adapt to the different levels of medical institutions, payment of the different types of services, with the total amount of prepaid, by disease, by service module alternative capitation payment paid by the project. 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But the large-scale promotion in 2009, when Shanghai first in the community health service centers all Medicare total prepaid soon turn extend them to Yan Chai Hospital, Huashan Hospital [url=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Louis_Vuitton]louis vuitton[/url], Shanghai First People's Hospital three tertiary hospitals, the scope of the experiment in 2010 to further expand to 10 tertiary hospitals and all of the city's public secondary hospitals 2011, the city all three hospitals were included in the total prepaid pilot. Shanghai version of the total prepaid mode, the total budget, monthly prepaid balances retention, risk-sharing is determined for the four cardinal principles. Shanghai version of the budget payment system is the most significant feature is the the double total control mechanism. The mode control means is one of the medical institutions on excess commitments to increase proportion of the former share will gradually increase from the initial 10 to 40. The measure, sharing the proportion mentioning Zhisi Cheng, hospitals adventure overruns will be able to basically been contained. Meanwhile, the health insurance sector in controlling the total cost on the basis of additional drug costs growth control targets and control on the principle of hospital drug costs increased by about 7 over the previous year, the excess shall not pay. 33 tertiary hospitals in Shanghai city's total health care costs in 2010 was 33.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 15 year on year, a third of last year's slowdown. As a result, the momentum of the fast rise of health care costs in the city decades for the first time has been curbed. In the first half of this year, the Shanghai total prepaid the pilot hospitals reporting health care costs, accounting for the proportion of the total cost of the designated medical institutions, has risen Daosi Cheng, total prepaid system has become the main body of the Medicare payment. Health insurance fund gap phenomenon is not unique to Shanghai. In early August 2012, the Guangzhou Municipal Human Resources and Social Security Bureau announced, along with the constant increase of the standard of health care treatment and medical increase in consumer demand, Guangzhou City, the health insurance fund to pay increasing pressure, in 2009, Guangzhou Medical Insurance Fund The gap for the first time, in 2010, the shortfall of 1.3 billion. Currently, Beijing is not yet heard the news of the health insurance fund shortfall, however, revealed that in 2010 and 2011, the Beijing health insurance fund spending increase of more than 35 of Jiang Ji-yuan, Beijing Medical Insurance Fund faces the long run control fees tremendous pressure. The second half of 2011, Beijing Friendship Hospital, Tongren Hospital, four hospitals to carry out total Prepaid pilot. However, with Shanghai, by the end of 2011, four hospitals in Beijing over the phenomenon. Beijing Tongren Hospital, Dean Wu Jixiang told Newsweek in early September, 2011, the hospital launched Total Prepaid Total Prepaid expenses accounted for one-third of the income of the Tongren Hospital. The excess amount of the Beijing Tongren Hospital, four hospitals in 2011 ranked third, exceeding more than 700 million Over the range of about 4.3. Wu Jixiang expected, the 2012 Beijing Tongren Hospital, may continue to excess. 1 June 2012, the total budget of the hospital has spent about 47 of the annual plan limit, but are generally required to increase the workload in the second half of this year, the end may or excess. Executive president of Beijing Friendship Hospital Xin Youqing revealed that the the total prepaid as of July 31, 2012, Beijing Friendship Hospital has spent 56 of the amount of the annual plan, after six months may be more pressure also face over-pressure. Wu Jixiang that the pressure of the control fees should be borne by the government, hospitals and social. 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So-called pay-disease diagnosis related grouping that the first reference to the patient's age, disease diagnosis, and other factors, the disease is divided into a number of diagnostic group then, hospitals and insurance agencies by negotiating reasonable payment standard to determine the diagnosis group, insurance institutions pay to the hospital Click here to agreed standards. However, after in Beijing pushing the total prepaid DRG pilot progress has slowed. September 20, the Beijing who participated in the DRG pilot program designed to insider told Newsweek, the pilot cases just reached one million, at the end of March, the proportion of surplus of the six pilot hospitals about 18 down to 15 more reasonable amount we had developed. In accordance with the original plan, the the six hospital's DRG pilot extended to 108 patients from the original group of species of 605 disease groups, however, the six hospitals in the pilot continues, but it is difficult to further pushed, Medicare has not optimistic about this. Informed sources said. Jiang Ji-yuan also said in the preceding occasions, vigorously promoted, while the total amount of prepaid DRG pay reform pilot ongoing phase summary Next to steadily push forward. JIANG Ji-yuan, the Beijing Human and Social Security Bureau deputy inspector told Newsweek, the implementation of the DRG, and requires a lot of manpower and support as well as a strong technical environment. However, in the insider view, and steadily push forward the likely means pilot propulsion will not be as fast as previously thought. Wang Shan, president of the subsidiary of the People's Hospital of Peking University hereinafter referred to as the People's Hospital of Beijing University at the end of March this year to accept an interview with Newsweek, DRG is a fine live. Peking University People's Hospital, as the pilot made preparations lasted for three years, very cumbersome, for example, you first need to standardize the diagnosis and the medical record, the establishment of intelligent assistance systems learning clinical path management application system establish medical quality assessment and monitoring protection system establish a department of the balance of payments balances decoupling of key performance indicators evaluation system and so on. Peking University People's Hospital, spent three years, failed three times, and finally completed the construction of a clinical pathway management application system. In addition, after the DRG pilot pushed the hospital also face greater control fee pressure. Therefore, how the front-end to promote the medical staff to change the habit of over-diagnosis and treatment, as necessary measures. Currently, Peking University People's Hospital, sections of the balance of payments balances and medical staff bonuses decoupling. More traditional project charging project more drugs, more hospital revenue department balances more health care workers to open up the drugs, more checks, over-diagnosis and treatment despite repeated prohibitions. Pay reform linked to the medical staff bonuses and quantity as well as quality of the medical services provided, internal medicine medical staff consider the total number of discharged patients and patients with major diseases critically ill patients number of discharged patients, and surgical assessment is the number of total surgery and major surgery difficult critically ill surgical and the number of cases. More severe challenges but also from DRG reform, the health insurance sector also need to simultaneously enhance the regulatory capacity. The insider believes that the implementation of the DRG need health insurance sector to the introduction of a sufficient number of medical professionals. These officers not only have a strong medical background, but also medical record knowledge really is a test of the health insurance sector but is also more difficult to expand the preparation of the health insurance sector. The source said. Compared with the complex DRG relatively simple calculation, the total amount of prepaid health insurance sector's regulatory capacity requirements are relatively low. However, the standard cost of the total budget in the end how to develop, and the same is placed in front of the problem of the health insurance sector. Total prepaid by the number of insured, the average annual number of total man-admissions, times are admissions fee levels and other data, estimated the total payment of medical expenses, on a regular basis by the health insurance agency earmarked to implement total control, the use of lump sum, cost overruns share payment way. Its premise is one of the relatively accurate estimates of the relevant data. However, due to the liquidity of patients with relatively large and stable treatment relationship does not exist between the hospital and the patients, resulting in accurate accounting of the cost and risk estimates is difficult to make the trip fine, This may lead to total prepaid rough outline sufficiently sophisticated Hospital Development Center, deputy director of Shanghai Shen Kang, director of the Institute of Fudan University Hospital, High Resolution Spring said. Part of the person in charge of the medical institutions of total prepaid has doubts. Associate Dean of the top three hospitals in Beijing a few days ago to Newsweek expressed his concerns The government gave money enough to spend most worried. Addition, the total amount of prepaid seems only control costs, do not consider the quality of medical care, the should improve on that? Hospital, vice president of the above top three worries are not redundant, the total prepaid payment, the hospital also may try to shift critically ill patients, because such patients cost health insurance fund more. Implemented in April this year, the total prepayment Hebei Baoding some hospitals, in order to avoid health insurance super For some workers Medicare patients, either reject or require the patient at their own expense. It is reported that Shanghai has also had a similar phenomenon. Elasticity improved Promote total prepaid system at the same time, Beijing, Shanghai, total prepaid system has made some adjustments in order to mobilize the enthusiasm of the hospital. Shanghai version of the reform program, the hospital control fee with remarkable results, the beginning of the total budget is not spent part of the balance can be retained by the hospital, is attached directly to the health insurance sector. Excess Medicare payments, also provides for the sharing of the health insurance fund and the pilot hospitals by a certain percentage. Specific share will be divided into two tranches Over-pilot hospitals to pay less than 10 8 excess over 10, to pay 15 of the pilot hospitals. For example, Tongren Hospital, for example, its 2011 excess proportion is 4.23, less than 10, 8 of the excess of the hospitals bear. In addition, Beijing is concerned, taking into account the price and other factors [url=http://lvoutlet.factorys8.com]louis vuitton outlet[/url], the total estimated cost of the pilot hospitals in 2012 has been raised every year, such as Friendship Hospital, Tongren Hospital, 2012 total budget plan amount than last year, an increase of 10. 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In Shanghai in September each year, the health insurance sector also for the running of the hospital's special use of motorized budget early fixed adjusted to some extent alleviated the excess risk of hospital. Consider lack of professional and technical personnel department, 2008, the health insurance sector in Shanghai to introduce the mechanism of consultations with the President [url=http://lvoutlet.factorys8.com]louis vuitton bags[/url], in fact, the right to health insurance total allocation from the health insurance sector partially handed over to the Coordination Group for the Presidency. Health News disclosed that each year around April, Shanghai medical institutions began slitting cake of the health insurance fund, health insurance office in Shanghai organized by the hospital on behalf of meeting their own consultations, the first round of next year's first hospital total budget divided tertiary hospitals and twelve total hospital budget, the second round of consultations to determine the total budget allocation scheme tertiary hospitals as well as medical insurance for all districts and counties allocation of the total program, the third round of consultations to determine the allocation of the total of twelve districts county hospital program. Shanghai's total prepaid is fully open, and the effect of the control fee has appeared. However, some medical institutions are still more optimistic about the finer DRG. Fudan University Hospital, director of the Institute of High Resolution spring seems, if Medicare pay reform objectives only control fee prepaid is the more prudent choice, the first implementation of the total amount of work in the short term, but in the long term, the total amount of prepaid more likely to lead to a doctor distort behavior, such as passing the buck critically ill patients, reduce the quality of medical services. Perhaps it is aware of this, Beijing and Shanghai are the coexistence of a variety of payment methods. For example, Beijing has gradually formed a single disease, bed day, fixed pay, total prepaid and DRG well under the total control of the fee-payment of various forms of co-existence of health insurance fund. Shanghai model is also a mixed mode of payment for the coexistence of a variety of payment methods. 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Private pension agency urgently toward specialization, scale Urumqi Municipal Civil Affairs Bureau of Social Affairs and Social Welfare Deputy Director Chu Qingquan introduced Twelfth Five-Year Development Plan in accordance with the Ministry of Civil Affairs' pension system construction standards, pension 30 beds per thousand elderly, in fact, Urumqi City per thousand elderly people is just 8.7, the gap is very large, far short of needs, exacerbated pension difficult. At the same time, subject to factors such as inadequate investment [url=http://lvbags.onshops8.com]http://lvbags.onshops8.com[/url], private pension institutions as a whole, service projects single, to meet the level is low, the part pension institutions can only do food and clothing, lack of professional education and training of employees, can not be provided for the elderly more comfortable and high-quality care, rehabilitation and treatment services. 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    “About Chuck's F.A.S.T. Graphs™: They are invaluable to me in making decisions about the stocks I own (in addition to what you are saying about doing other research) and the ones I hope to own in the future.”


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    “If there were an Investor Hall of Fame for people who have helped others with their investing, and sharing valuable information, you and your F.A.S.T. Graphs™ would get one of my selections.”


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    “I recently subscribed to the F.A.S.T. Graphs™, and these articles are helping me learn how to better use them. They really do give you a good quick look at the valuations picture. A much needed tool!”


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