Research Articles

Addendum To: Investing in Western Utility Stocks, Do Today’s Valuations Make Sense, Part 2

Chuck Carnevale - Tuesday, July 31, 2012

This instablog looks at the five example Western utilities covered in part two. This instablog will primarily look at valuation through the lens of FAST Graphs™.  We consider this powerful graphing tool an essential first step when attempting to determine both fair value and the potential return that a common stock offers.  However, they are not the final step. Instead, they provide a very efficient mechanism that allows the user to determine whether they want to embark on a more comprehensive research effort or not. Consequently, they can save the user from wasting a lot of unnecessary time and effort towards a lost cause.

FAST Graphs™ are a “tool to think with” and as such, have no agenda of their own.  Instead, they are designed to provide “essential fundamentals at a glance” and allow the user to interpret the data according to their own philosophies, strategies and beliefs.  In this context, FAST Graphs™ are the deliverer or reporter of important information.

Essentially, the FAST Graphs™ stock research tool provides investors many benefits, but there are four things they do very well.

  • 1. They provide a historical review and instantaneous perspective of how well the business behind the stock has historically performed (the orange earnings justified valuation line).
  • 2.  They provide an instantaneous perspective of how the market has historically capitalized or priced the company’s operating results or business performance (the blue normal PE ratio line).
  • 3.  They provide a precise consensus estimate of leading analysts’ near term earnings expectations for a company’s current fiscal year and next fiscal year followed by a five year earnings growth consensus estimate (estimated earnings and return calculator graph).
  • 4.  They provide the opportunity to override and therefore input the user’s own estimates or expectations of the company’s future prospects (override function is located on navigation bar).

FAST Graphs™ are a dynamic tool that calculates the company’s changing growth rates each time a different time period is selected. Therefore, the user can determine such things as whether the company’s earnings growth rates are accelerating, decelerating or staying the same, and see major inflection points, if any, with a company’s business vividly revealed. This is a major component of the “tools to think with” aspect of this fundamental research tool.

Non-subscribers to FAST Graphs™ can click on the Table below to take you to a free link to live, and fully functioning FAST Graphs™ on the companies discussed in this Instablog.  (Subscribers may want to go directly to the FAST Graphs™ website). Click on any stock symbol on the table to run this "tool to think with" through its paces. Draw graphs displaying 2 to 20 years of history.  The tan vertical navigation bar on the left drives this dynamic graphing tool.  The drop-down window at the top with the stock symbols has a black arrow that allows you to move from one company to the next.  Discover how this tool dynamically re-evaluates valuation based on the company's earnings and price relationship.)  This link will stay active for 90 days from the date of this article.

Summary & Conclusions

Once you are in the free link to the companies covered in this Instablog, you will be able to fully experience the FAST Graphs™ premium charting tool limited to these companies only.  The tan navigation bar to the left allows you to manipulate each company’s graphs in numerous ways.  There are boxes with checkmarks in them that could be unchecked that allow you temporarily add or delete any function that FAST Graphs™ offers.  Play with these free sample graphs and have fun.

Disclosure:  No positions at the time of writing.

Disclaimer: The opinions in this document are for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as a recommendation to buy or sell the stocks mentioned or to solicit transactions or clients. Past performance of the companies discussed may not continue and the companies may not achieve the earnings growth as predicted. The information in this document is believed to be accurate, but under no circumstances should a person act upon the information contained within. We do not recommend that anyone act upon any investment information without first consulting an investment advisor as to the suitability of such investments for his specific situation.

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“I appreciate your work, Chuck. As a subscriber to FAST Graphs™, I use the tool to decide on whether to purchase additional shares of what I currently hold or to add a new holding. Your articles help me make full use of the tool and give other readers valuable information, if they take the time to learn. One of the biggest enhancements that I use is the FFO data added for MLPs and REITs.”


“When FAST Graphs™ were unavailable because of Hurricane Sandy, I realized how much I need them in order to make investment decisions.

(Wish I could be) Long FAST Graphs!!!”


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“Love the F.A.S.T. Graphs™: One glance and you know a whole lot.”


“About Chuck's F.A.S.T. Graphs™: They are invaluable to me in making decisions about the stocks I own (in addition to what you are saying about doing other research) and the ones I hope to own in the future.”


"Chuck -- Your proprietary F.A.S.T. Graphs™ are a VERY impressive tool!"


“If there were an Investor Hall of Fame for people who have helped others with their investing, and sharing valuable information, you and your F.A.S.T. Graphs™ would get one of my selections.”


“I love Chuck's F.A.S.T. Graphs™! Well worth the price of admission for what he gives you.”


"Chuck - Thank you for your well thought out articles. I tend to be a visual type of person so I really appreciate the F.A.S.T. Graphs™ approach."


"Great article, as always! I always look forward to your articles, and am especially eagerly awaiting your next in this series. I find the F.A.S.T. Graphs™ extremely helpful."


“Your F.A.S.T. Graphs™ put all of this in a single artful picture and the accompanying spreadsheets hammer home the point.”


“I use the F.A.S.T. Graphs™ method to evaluate all of my ideas. I recommend it for individual investors, since it helps them focus on data and get past the many emotional arguments.”


“I recently subscribed to the F.A.S.T. Graphs™, and these articles are helping me learn how to better use them. They really do give you a good quick look at the valuations picture. A much needed tool!”


“I also always appreciate the clear-cut information provided through your F.A.S.T. Graphs™ and articles.”


“Thanks, Chuck, for your F.A.S.T. Graphs™. Each of these graphs is worth 1,000 words in describing a company's growth, consistency and valuation. Thanks for sharing your graphs.”


“Thanks, Chuck. Love the F.A.S.T. Graphs™! It makes investing so much more clear.”


“Chuck's F.A.S.T. Graphs™: They are invaluable to me in making decisions about the stocks I own (in addition to what you are saying about doing other research) and the ones I hope to own in the future.”


”I am amazed at the usefulness of your F.A.S.T. Graphs™ and I plan on using them for a long time to come.”


“Chuck's F.A.S.T. Graphs™ will give you a tool to find those well chosen stocks...”


“Thanks for the F.A.S.T. Graphs™, Chuck. They are the best tool I've used.”